Everyday Life / CALCULATOR

PERT Task Duration Estimate

PERT Task Duration Estimate: explicit inputs, a worked example and clearly stated assumptions.

Runs on your deviceUpdates as you typeFormula & example ↓
01

Your inputs

Adjust the values to explore a different result.

h
Enter optimistic duration in h.
h
Enter most likely duration in h.
h
Enter pessimistic duration in h.

Formula

expected=(optimistic+4 likely+pessimistic)/6; spread=(pessimistic−optimistic)/6.
  • Use the units shown beside each field.
  • Results update automatically whenever you change an input.
  • Displayed values use up to four decimal places, or scientific notation for very small or large numbers. Calculations use standard floating-point arithmetic; exact integer and fraction tools identify their own precision rules.
  • Classical PERT approximation from subjective inputs. No completion probability or independence across tasks is assumed.

Example Calculation

Example inputs
  • Optimistic duration: 2 h
  • Most likely duration: 5 h
  • Pessimistic duration: 8 h

Durations 2,5,8 hours give a PERT estimate of five hours and a one-hour spread.

Frequently asked questions

How do I use this calculator?

Enter optimistic duration, most likely duration, pessimistic duration. The result updates automatically. Use Reset to restore the example values.

What method does it use?

expected=(optimistic+4 likely+pessimistic)/6; spread=(pessimistic−optimistic)/6.. Classical PERT approximation from subjective inputs. No completion probability or independence across tasks is assumed.

Why might a rounded result differ?

The calculation keeps full numeric precision internally, then rounds the displayed result. Rounding intermediate steps by hand can produce a slightly different answer.

Are my inputs saved online?

No. This calculator processes your inputs in your browser. A recently used list stores only calculator names on this device, not your entered values.

Check the assumptions and units before using this result. Read about calculation methods.