Geometric Probability Calculator

Enter success probability.
Enter trial of first success.
Math

Calculate geometric probability with explicit inputs and a worked example.

Formula

P(X=k) = (1−p)ᵏ⁻¹p

Example Calculation

Example inputs
  • Success probability: 0.25
  • Trial of first success: 3

For p=0.25, the first success on trial 3 has probability 0.140625.

Frequently asked questions

How do I use this calculator?

Enter success probability, trial of first success. The result updates automatically. Use Reset to restore the example values.

What method does it use?

P(X=k) = (1−p)ᵏ⁻¹p. Independent repeated trials, counting the successful trial.

Why might a rounded result differ?

The calculation keeps full numeric precision internally, then rounds the displayed result. Rounding intermediate steps by hand can produce a slightly different answer.

Are my inputs saved online?

No. This calculator processes your inputs in your browser. A recently used list stores only calculator names on this device, not your entered values.

Check the assumptions and units before using this result. Read about calculation methods.